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	<title>San Antonio Tea Party &#187; Health Care Reform</title>
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		<title>Congress’s Secret Plan to Pass Obamacare</title>
		<link>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/926/congress%e2%80%99s-secret-plan-to-pass-obamacare/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=congress%25e2%2580%2599s-secret-plan-to-pass-obamacare</link>
		<comments>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/926/congress%e2%80%99s-secret-plan-to-pass-obamacare/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 01 Oct 2009 16:17:38 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>San Antonio Tea Party</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Darling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chairman Of The Senate Finance Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Comprehensive Health Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Comprehensive Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Congressional Budget Office]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Fellow Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Bill]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jim Bunning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Legislative Text]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Max Baucus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Moderate Democrats]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sen Jim Bunning]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Committees]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Finance Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Floor]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Majority Leader]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Majority Leader Harry]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wing Leadership]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Congress’s Secret Plan to Pass Obamacare by Brian Darling Brian Darling is director of U.S. Senate Relations at The Heritage Foundation. President Obama and liberals in Congress seem intent on passing comprehensive health care reform, even though polls suggest it [...]]]></description>
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<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><strong>Congress’s Secret  Plan to Pass Obamacare </strong></span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><strong>by </strong></span><span style="font-size: medium;"><a href="http://www.humanevents.com/search.php?author_name=Brian+Darling" target="_blank"><span style="color: #666666; font-size: x-small;"><strong>Brian Darling</strong></span></a></span><span style="font-size: medium;"><strong> </strong></span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: medium;">Brian Darling is director of U.S. Senate  Relations at The Heritage Foundation.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: medium;">President Obama and liberals in Congress  seem intent on passing comprehensive health care reform, even though  polls suggest it is unpopular with the American people. And despite  the potential political risks to moderate Democrats, the President and  left-wing leadership in Congress are determined to pass the measure  using a rare parliamentary procedure.</p>
<p>The Senate plans to attach Obamacare to a House-passed non-healthcare  bill. Ironically, nobody knows what that legislation looks like, because  it has not yet been written. Yet many members plan to rubber-stamp Obamacare  without reading or understanding the bill.</p>
<p>The Senate Finance Committee worked furiously last week to mark up a  “conceptual framework” of health care reform. The committee actually  rejected an amendment by Sen. Jim Bunning (R.-Ky.) to mandate that the  bill text and a final cost analysis by the Congressional Budget Office  (CBO) be publicly available at least 72 hours before the Finance Committee  votes on final passage.</p>
<p>The following four-step scenario describes one way liberals plan to  work the rules in their favor to get Obamacare through the Senate:</p>
<p><strong>Step 1</strong>: The Senate Finance Committee must first approve the marked-up  version of Sen. Max Baucus’ (D.-Mont.) conceptual framework. Then  Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D.-Nev.) can say that two Senate  Committees have passed a health care bill, which will allow him to take  extraordinary steps to get the bill on the Senate floor.</p>
<p>During the mark-up last week, members had difficulty offering amendments  and trying to make constructive changed because they lacked actual legislative  text and Baucus made unilateral last minute changes. For example, the  AP reported that “under pressure from fellow Democrats, the chairman  of the Senate Finance Committee decided to commit an additional $50  billion over a decade toward making insurance more affordable for working-class  families.”</p>
<p><strong>Step 2</strong>:  Sen. Reid will take the final product of the Senate Finance  Committee and merge it with the product of the Senate Health, Education,  Labor and Pensions (HELP) Committee, which passed on a party-line vote  in July.</p>
<p>Usually, a bill is voted out of committee, and then the Senate takes  up the final product of the committee so that all 100 senators can have  a hand in the process. With some help from the Obama administration,  Reid will decide what aspects of the HELP and Finance Committee bills  to keep.</p>
<p><strong>Step 3</strong>:  Now, Obamacare will be ready to hitch a ride on an unrelated  bill from the House. Sen. Reid will move to proceed to H.R. 1586, a  bill to impose a tax on bonuses received by certain TARP recipients.  This bill was passed by the House in the wake of the AIG bonus controversy  and is currently sitting on the Senate Legislative Calendar.</p>
<p>The move to proceed needs 60 votes to start debate. After the motion  is approved, Sen. Reid will offer Obamacare as a complete substitute  to the unrelated House-passed bill. This means that the entire healthcare  reform effort will be included as an amendment to a TARP bill that has  been collecting dust in the Senate for months.</p>
<p><strong>Step 4</strong>: For this strategy to work, the proponents would need  to hold together the liberal caucus of 58 Democrats (including Paul  Kirk who was named last Thursday to replace Sen. Kennedy), and the two  Independent senators (Joe Lieberman of Connecticut and Bernie Sanders  of Vermont).  These members will have to all hold hands and vote against  any filibuster. Once the Senate takes up the bill, only a simple majority  of members will be needed for passage. It’s possible one of the endangered  moderate Democrats, such as Sen. Blanche Lincoln (Ark.), could vote  to stop a filibuster then vote against Obamacare so as not to offend  angry constituents.</p>
<p>Once the Senate passes a bill and sends it to the House, all the House  would have to do is pass the bill without changes and President Obama  will be presented with his health care reform measure. If this plan  does not work, the Senate and House leadership may go back to considering  using reconciliation to pass the legislation.</p>
<p>Adopting this secret plan will not strike most Americans as a transparent,  bipartisan, effective way to change how millions of Americans get their  health care.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"><span style="font-size: medium;"><br />
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		<title>Lamar Smith Town Hall In Schertz</title>
		<link>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/517/lamar-smith-town-hall-in-schertz/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=lamar-smith-town-hall-in-schertz</link>
		<comments>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/517/lamar-smith-town-hall-in-schertz/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 27 Aug 2009 02:34:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>San Antonio Tea Party</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Town Hall Meetings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Amp]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charles Gonzalez]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lamar Smith]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mysa Com]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[News Stories]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Schertz]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Slideshows]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Town Hall]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[Lamar Smith held his town hall meeting in Schertz on Monday.  It was a jam packed event. Here are the links to the news stories about the event and some pictures. http://www.kabb.com/news/ its under Health Care Reform Town Hall http://www.mysa.com [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Lamar Smith held his town hall meeting in Schertz on Monday.  It was a jam packed event.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Here are the links to the news stories about the event and some pictures.</span></span></p>
<pre><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;"><a href="http://www.kabb.com/news/" target="_blank">http://www.kabb.com/news/</a>   its under Health Care Reform Town Hall

<a href="http://www.mysa.com/" target="_blank">http://www.mysa.com</a>   look in the slideshows Charles Gonzalez health care town hall and Lamar Smith health care town hall

<a href="http://www.kens5.com/latestnews/stories/KENS20090824-lamarsmithtownhall.111b9bbab.html" target="_blank">http://www.kens5.com/latestnews/stories/KENS20090824-lamarsmithtownhall.111b9bbab.html</a>

<a href="http://www.ksat.com/video/20537133/index.html" target="_blank">http://www.ksat.com/video/20537133/index.html</a></span></span>
<span style="font-size: medium;">
<a href="http://sanantonioteaparty.org/event-pictures/?album=1&amp;gallery=9" target="_blank"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">http://sanantonioteaparty.org/event-pictures/?album=1&amp;gallery=9</span></a></span></pre>
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		<title>The Gang Of Six</title>
		<link>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/508/the-gang-of-six/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=the-gang-of-six</link>
		<comments>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/508/the-gang-of-six/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 24 Aug 2009 02:46:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>San Antonio Tea Party</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[988]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Charles Grassley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dc Office]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Feelings]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jeff Bingaman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Kent Conrad]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Max Baucus]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Enzi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Office Numbers]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Olympia]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Olympia Snowe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sen Olympia Snowe]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://sanantonioteaparty.org/?p=508</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Sunday, August 23, 2009 Take Action on Health Care Reform! Please take immediate action. Call the bipartisan &#8220;gang of six&#8221; and tell them not to cave in to the pressures. Let these 6 know your feelings on the Health Care [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Sunday, August 23, 2009</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Take Action on Health Care Reform!</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Please take immediate action. Call the bipartisan &#8220;gang of six&#8221; and tell them not to cave in to the pressures. Let these 6 know your feelings on the Health Care Reform.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Listed are both their district and DC office numbers. Thanks for your continue work.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Sen. Max Baucus<br />
406-657-6790<br />
202-224-2651</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Sen. Jeff Bingaman<br />
505-988-6647<br />
202-224-5521 </span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Sen. Kent Conrad<br />
701-258-4648<br />
202-224-2043</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Sen. Charles Grassley<br />
515-288-1145<br />
202-224-3744</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Sen. Mike Enzi<br />
307-682-6268<br />
202-224-3424</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial,helvetica,sans-serif;">Sen. Olympia Snowe<br />
207-786-2451<br />
202-224-5344</span></span></p>
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		<title>Obamacare Pays &#8216;Community Organizations&#8217; To Monitor Your Weight</title>
		<link>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/406/obamacare-pays-community-organizations-to-monitor-your-weight/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=obamacare-pays-community-organizations-to-monitor-your-weight</link>
		<comments>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/406/obamacare-pays-community-organizations-to-monitor-your-weight/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 18 Aug 2009 23:17:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>San Antonio Tea Party</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Address Health Disparities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill States]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Centers For Disease Control And Prevention]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Community Transformation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Evidence Base]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Exercise Habits]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Activities]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Help Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Implementation Evaluation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Local Government Agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Member Mike]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Enzi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Prevention Programming]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Preventive Health]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Senate Health Education Labor And Pensions Committee]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State And Local Governments]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[State Government Agency]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Types Of Entities]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[From (CNSNews.com) – The health care reform bill approved by the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee (HELP) would provide federal grants to state and local governments and a “national network of community-based organizations” to &#8220;promote healthy living and reduce disparities&#8221; and to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<div><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;"><strong>From (CNSNews.com)</strong> – The health care reform bill approved by the Senate Health, Education, Labor and Pensions Committee (HELP) would provide federal grants to state and local governments and a “national network of community-based organizations” to &#8220;promote healthy living and reduce disparities&#8221; and to monitor people&#8217;s weight, eating, exercise habits and other individual behaviors that affect health at the community level.</p>
<p>The language instituting the program, entitled &#8220;Community Transformation Grants,&#8221; is on pages 382-387 of the bill as posted on the committee&#8217;s Web site.</p>
<p>The bill states that only three types of entities will be eligible to receive grants under the program: &#8220;a&#8211;(A) State government agency; (B) local government agency; or (C) national network of community-based organizations.&#8221;</p>
<p>Neither the White House nor the Senate Health, Education, Labor, and Pension (HELP) Committee responded to inquiries from CNSNews.com about exactly what organzations would be eligible for the grants as a &#8220;national network of community-based organzations&#8221; and exactly how these community-based organizations would operate.</p>
<p>The HELP Committee is the only Senate committee <a href="http://help.senate.gov/Maj_press/2009_07_15_b.pdf">to have voted</a> so far on a health care reform bill. The minority office of the HELP Committee, under Ranking Member Mike Enzi (R-Wy.), referred questions to the office of the committee chairman, Sen. Ted Kennedy (D-Mass.).  Kennedy’s office did not respond to CNSNews.com inquires about the provision.</p>
<p>The language of the bill says that the secretary of health and human services, acting through the director of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, can award the grants “for the implementation, evaluation, and dissemination of proven evidence-based community preventive health activities in order to reduce chronic disease rates, address health disparities, and develop a stronger evidence-base of effective prevention programming.”</p>
<p>The community-based organizations that get the federal grants must submit a plan to HHS that “includes the policy, environmental, programmatic, and infrastructure changes needed to promote healthy living and reduce disparities.”</p>
<p>These plans can include “activities” to create “healthier school environments, including increasing healthy food options, physical activity opportunities, promotion of healthy lifestyle and prevention curricula, and activities to prevent chronic diseases.”</p>
<p>The language of the bill says, &#8220;Activities within the plan shall focus on (but not be limited to) &#8230; (iv) assessing and implementing worksite wellness programming and incentives; (v) working to highlight healthy options at restaurants and other food venues; (vi) prioritizing strategies to reduce racial and ethnic disparities, including social determinants of health&#8230;&#8221;</p>
<p>In a section entitled, “Community-Based Prevention Health Activities,&#8221; the bill calls on grant recipients to measure weight loss, physical activity, smoking and other activities of people in the neighborhood.</p>
<p>&#8220;In carrying out subparagraph (A), the eligible entity shall, with respect to residents in the community, measure&#8211;<br />
&#8220;(i)                 decreases in weight;<br />
&#8220;(ii)                increases in proper nutrition;<br />
&#8220;(iii)               increases in physical activity;<br />
&#8220;(iv)               decreases in tobacco use prevalence;<br />
&#8220;(v)                other factors using community-specific data from the Behavioral Risk Surveillance Survey; and<br />
&#8220;(vi)               other factors as determined by the Secretary [at HHS].”</p>
<p>The proposed law further says that the CDC director “shall provide appropriate feedback and technical assistance to grantees to establish community makeover plans.”</p>
<p></span></span></div>
<div><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;"><img style="width: 220px; max-width: 220px; height: auto;" src="http://media.cnsnews.com/resources/51217.jpg" alt="" /><br />
Sen. Christopher Dodd (D-Conn.)  (AP Photo)</span></span></div>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">The proposed law does not say, however, exactly how or with what authority a grant recipient would go around measuring weight loss of community residents, or their use of “proper nutrition” or whether they had increased their physical activity, among other mandates in the bill.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">Further, the Kennedy health care bill does not say which “national network of community-based organizations” is eligible to participate.  Sen. Chris Dodd (D-Conn.) said that it is possible that the controversial group ACORN could qualify for the available grants.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">“I don’t believe so, but they could be,” Dodd told CNSNews.com, in an earlier interview. “I just don’t want to say categorically it’s the case.”</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">“I’m not saying yes or no, I just don’t know. I don’t think it’s a blanket thing that anyone applies necessarily,” he said. “There would have to be criteria by which an organization qualifies to receive those grants.”</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">ACORN, the Association of Community Organizations for Reform Now, is a national network of community-based organizations. It has been scrutinized in recent years over allegations of  voter registration fraud. In Nevada, criminal charges were filed against the group in May that said ACORN illegally paid for the registration of voters before the 2008 election.  ACORN has denied the allegations.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">ACORN has also been criticized because of its partnership agreement with the U.S. Census Bureau to help in the 2010 Census count.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">Devon Herrick, a senior fellow at the conservative National Center for Policy Analysis (NCPA), in an e-mail to CNSNews.com, speculated that grants for “Creating Healthier Communities” could be misused by organizations that do not promote healthy living.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">“I&#8217;m only speculating, because the bill does not make it clear,” Herrick said. “You will have to ask the Senate HELP Committee staff for a definitive answer. [But] my concern is the grants would be misused to reward political organizations whose mission has never been to promote healthier lifestyles.”</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">Herrick said he doubts that efforts by community-based organizations will result in healthier neighborhoods, adding that he expects entities such as schools and non-profits to use the grants if the Senate provision is included in the final bill.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">“I&#8217;m not convinced community-based initiatives will result in healthier communities,” he said.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">“But if provisions for healthy community grants ultimately pass, I would like to think the funds would be used by schools [to create new after-school programs] and by non-profits, such as YMCA, Boy Scouts, Girl Scouts, etcetera,” Herrick said, “and for actual programs that encourage physical activity and teach healthy living.”</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">The NCPA’s senior fellow’s comments were in response to CNSNews.com’s inquiry to provide an interpretation of the “community transformation grants provision” and whether organizations like ACORN would benefit. He was also asked to provide examples of which organizations would qualify.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;">“My hope is that the funds would go to organizations who have been promoting healthy lifestyles all along,” Herrick told CNSNews.com.</span></span></p>
<p><span style="font-size: medium;"><span style="font-family: arial black,avant garde;"><em>Michael W. Chapman contributed to this report.</em></span></span></p>
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		<title>Cato Institute On Health Care Reform</title>
		<link>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/306/cato-institute-on-health-care-reform/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=cato-institute-on-health-care-reform</link>
		<comments>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/306/cato-institute-on-health-care-reform/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 13 Aug 2009 19:43:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>San Antonio Tea Party</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Cato Institute]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Health Care Reform]]></category>

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		<description><![CDATA[The Cato Institute has some great things on their site about health care reform. Take a look http://healthcare.cato.org/]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The Cato Institute has some great things on their site about health care reform.  Take a look</p>
<p><a href="http://healthcare.cato.org/" target="_blank">http://healthcare.cato.org/</a></p>
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		<title>ELDERLY SWING AGAINST OBAMA PLAN</title>
		<link>http://www.sanantonioteaparty.us/278/elderly-swing-against-obama-plan/?utm_source=rss&#038;utm_medium=rss&#038;utm_campaign=elderly-swing-against-obama-plan</link>
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		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Aug 2009 07:59:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>San Antonio Tea Party</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Health Care]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[August 11]]></category>
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		<description><![CDATA[ELDERLY SWING AGAINST OBAMA PLAN By DICK MORRIS &#038; EILEEN MCGANN Published on DickMorris.com on August 11, 2009 The most ominous signal yet for the Obama health care plan emerged in the poll by Scott Rasmussen released today. While public [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>ELDERLY SWING AGAINST OBAMA PLAN</p>
<p>By DICK MORRIS &#038; EILEEN MCGANN</p>
<p>Published on DickMorris.com on August 11, 2009</p>
<p>The most ominous signal yet for the Obama health care plan emerged in the poll by Scott Rasmussen released today.  While public support for the plan fell to a new low (42% support, 53% oppose &#8212; down five points in two weeks), the elderly emerged as the strongest opposition group.  Those over 65 rejected the plan by 39-56 while almost half &#8212; 46% &#8212; said they were &#8220;strongly opposed&#8221; to it.</p>
<p>The group that supports the plan most strongly is those likely to be least affected, voters under the age of thirty, 67% of whom support the proposals.</p>
<p>The Democratic Senators and Congressmen can well choose to ignore polls.  Polls go up.  Polls go down.  They may figure that the public will have moved on by the time they run for re-election, particularly those Senators who are not up in 2010.  With four or six years to go in their terms, they can afford a relaxed view of polling data.</p>
<p>But the Democratic Party as a whole cannot afford to ignore a massive defection in the ranks of the elderly, one of its key building blocks.  Ever since the New Deal coalition was cobbled together by FDR, the elderly have been a major component.  Worried about Republican designs on their Social Security, they vote overwhelmingly Democratic.  </p>
<p>But the Obama proposals, which many see correctly as a major cut in Medicare, might be seminal in driving them en masse away from the Democrats.</p>
<p>The Democratic Party is built on six pillars &#8212; blacks, Latinos, single women, young people, union members, and the elderly.  If legislation threatens one of those pillars, it threatens the stability of the entire partisan structure.  And Obama&#8217;s health care reform seems to do just that.</p>
<p>With 40% of the savings in medical spending coming from Medicare, the senior citizens of America are coming to see the Obama proposals as an assault on their health care system.  Since their needs are fully met by Medicare, they see no need for monkeying with the system and are highly suspicious of any changes.  When they watch as their fellow seniors attend town meetings to protest to their Congressmen about these cuts and are labeled &#8220;un-American&#8221; for their pains, their alienation from the Democrats just grows.</p>
<p>The fissure Obama is driving between his party and the elderly will not soon heal.  When the elderly change their voting habits, they tend to do so for a very, very long time.  Even Senators who are up in</p>
<p>2012 or 2014 should worry that their votes for the Obama plan could doom their ability to attract elderly support.</p>
<p>As to the young people who back the plan, once they learn that they will have to pay steep premiums for health care coverage, whether they want to or not, their support is likely to cool.  Under the bill, for example, those making $30,000 a year would have to pay up to 7% of their income in health insurance premiums before they could get a government subsidy.  A $2,100 bill for such a young person might seem affordable to Obama, but perhaps not to them.  Thus, the legislation may well come to be seen as a tax on the young, another of the key constituencies of the Democratic Party.</p>
<p>The cost of Obama&#8217;s health care changes just keeps growing &#8212; financially and politically.</p>
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