The Budget Deal in Perspective

Posted: Sunday, August 21st, 2011 at 8:14 am
By: SATP

by John M. Bell
SATP Executive Committee and Board Member

 

It was a rag-tag group at best: they came from all corners, some more experienced than others, but all with a passion for upsetting the status quo.  They were restless.  Inspired by some undisciplined Tea Partiers, they agreed that taxation had gotten out of hand.  They disagreed on as much as they agreed upon, but they were united in their desire to be free of a government so remote that that it had lost understanding of the plight of the real person.

In the battles that followed, this army (if you could call it that) took its lumps.  There was little chance of mounting an offensive that would strike a knock-out blow to the other side.  Theirs became a guerilla war, of sorts, seizing upon the other side’s arrogant blunders, incorrect assumptions about their opponents’ intellect, abilities, common sense, and the public’s deep-seated agreement with the rebels’ unifying views.

This motley group’s leader was a man from the establishment; he had served faithfully for years in circles of relative power and learned from the best what works and what doesn’t.  Of course, that association made him suspect: Did he share the passion?  Did he have the commitment?  Could he deliver as a leader?

And then too he was not spectacular when it came to delivering results.  Often against overwhelming odds, he would make some small sign of progress, but worked into a position of inevitable loss, he would—dare I say?—retreat.  His detractors, who were many, demanded his resignation; the press was critical; even some of his colleagues wondered what would become of their movement and themselves.

Over time, however, this concept of “strategic retreat” became a hallmark of the movement’s eventual success: a series of small victories which wore down their opponents, educated the masses, and gained popular support.  It was an outcome that was not meant to be, but it was a victory no less.

The time was the American Revolution; the leader was George Washington; the army was the Patriots who risked all for what they believed.

*****

Analogies are never perfect.  Speaker of the House Boehner is no General Washington, the Tea Party caucus is not the Patriot army of the Revolution, and the often mind-numbing blather in the Capitol cannot truly be compared to the heroic actions on the Revolutionary battlefield.  Yet similarities exist and are worth noting.  For one, General Washington seemed to appreciate Tacitus’ adage, “He that fights and runs away, may turn and fight another day; but he that is in battle slain, will never rise to fight again.”

More than a convenient excuse rationalizing retreat, it is a time-honored military tactic to assess the cost-benefit of any particular action and proceed accordingly.  No military leader would rush into a situation that is knowingly unwinnable without considering the probability of success and cost of such action.  Passion for one’s cause is noble, but it must always be tempered with a realistic view of possible outcomes.  And sometimes, to both Tacitus’ point and Washington’s actions, the better option is strategic retreat.

So it was in our Nation’s capital recently during debate to raise the debt ceiling.  After a recent success in the U.S. House of Representatives, in which that chamber passed the so-called “Cut, Cap, and Balance” bill—which the SATP and most Americans supported—the Senate’s inaction and the White House’s announced veto ensured that action would go nowhere.

The subsequent House proposal, though possibly agreeable to the Senate and the White House, would have been (in the minds of many conservative House members) a bridge too far, a compromise they could not accept, and it was withdrawn without a vote.

That proposal was followed by a third that gained tepid approval from both the Senate and White House.  It was the eleventh-hour deal that ultimately passed by a vote of 269 to 161 in the House, and later in the Senate.  It was a vote that split the Tea Party Caucus fairly evenly (32 for to 28 against).

A retreat from the original intent of the conservative leadership?  Yes.  A compromise with the “enemy”?  Yes.   A reason to disparage those conservative leaders who voted to accept the deal?  Not necessarily.

Without compromising our own beliefs or our commitment to seeing them enacted, Tea Partiers, as General Washington, must never lose sight of the big picture.  Success of this movement does not hinge on one vote, but the forward movement of our cause over time.  The United States of America did not arrive at this political, economic, and social brink overnight, and we surely will not move back from it overnight.  Much as the American Revolution, it will be a protracted war, with many battles.  In some we’ll see tremendous strides; in others we’ll see baby steps; and in still others we may encounter retreat or even loss.  Ronald Reagan would say, “The future doesn’t belong to the faint-hearted; it belongs to the brave.”  The brave aren’t those who are willing to end it all in one battle, but those who wisely navigate the ebb and flow of the war to achieve the desired goal, often realizing small victories along the way.

So what were the victories in this latest episode?  Here are several:

1) The bill prevented a default, with a credit downgrade and weakening of the U.S. dollar it would bring.  Many will argue, and rightly so, that default was not inevitable: it’s a matter of priorities of how the revenues will be spent.  Obviously it’s a choice on whether the U.S. will pay its debts to creditors, pay entitlements such as Social Security and pensions/benefits, or pay discretionary spending.  It could have even been forced to shut down certain government functions and agencies.  Given who currently controls the Executive Branch of government and its current priorities, this could have been disastrous.

2)  The bill mandates significant savings over ten years by capping discretionary spending.  Granted many of these cuts do not phase in until 2013 and there could have been more and sooner actions, but this represents a step in the right direction.

3)  The bill sends a wake-up call to the Nation on the hazards of overspending when the raising of the debt ceiling has been almost a routine event over recent decades.  It shows that Washington’s spending culture is beginning to change and the conversation has shifted from an agenda of ever-growing government and increased taxes. It marks the new conversation about cutting spending.

4)  The debate reopened discussion on a Balanced Budget Amendment, which the SATP has long advocated.  It begs the obvious question that if a BBA is good for most of the states, why is it not good for the Federal government?

5)  The bill forced the President and big-spenders to back off on some of their liberal demands.  Until now, the President showed no intention of abandoning his out-of-control spending agenda, which always included raising taxes on at least some part of the population.  That discussion came to the table having given up the idea of kicking the can down the road and raising taxes on hard working families and businesses. Otherwise, it seems like the Republicans should have taken the President’s initial offer of an 83/17 spending cut/tax increase.

6)  The debate showed government leadership that we Tea Party patriots will not submissively follow what we didn’t believe would bring at least some, even small, success to the battle.  As famously noted in the second round of House discussions, Tea Party Caucus members and others let Speaker Boehner know he could not count on their support unless other key concepts were part of the final bill.  That was impetus for the final discussions that produced a bill that many could support.  It’s ironic that our detractors see our success as greater than we see it, with the mainstream press and commentators disparaging the Tea Party because of their success, and even the Vice President reportedly referring to us a “terrorists.”

It’s not time to celebrate: the budget deal is far from perfect.  It may be, however, the best deal we conservatives could get at this point in time, controlling only half of Congress, minus the Senate and the White House.  Consider this: in 2009 we had no chance of being heard on these issues, much less influencing a vote.  2010 brought us a major success as We the People spoke loudly and clearly that promises of “hope” and “change” weren’t working, and sent to Congress several dozen new representatives.  Since January 2011, they have navigated the bureaucracy, learned the ropes, and most recently demonstrated they are willing and able to take a strong and principled stand on the core issues.  The modest actions of 2011 are not an end; they are only a plateau from which to continue the climb.

As columnist Michael Tanner of the Cato Institute noted in the National Review Online, “It could be worse. President Obama started out the year calling for an increase in government spending. Instead, the deal included cuts or at least reductions in the rate of spending growth. And, Republicans stood firm against any tax increase. … And a precedent has been set. Call it the Boehner Rule: Future increases in the debt ceiling will almost certainly have to include additional spending cuts.”  In short, the deal was very likely the best that conservatives could get under the circumstances.  The way we will know if it were a surrender out of fear or a strategic retreat is the action our representatives take in the future—whether it is back to subservience and acceptance of government growth, or a stepping stone to true and proper change for America.

*****

Washington knew that for the Revolution to succeed the war would be long and costly.  A minority of Patriots, even one fervently committed to grand success, would find small, sometimes imperceptible, successes along the way. Ultimate success would be through thoughtful actions that would from time to time require strategic retreat.  These are not abandonment of core principles, but an acceptance of small victories as building blocks for great future successes.

We, as Washington, must understand success will not come overnight.  Conservatives must now capitalize on momentum and ensure movement resumes in a forward direction.  That action must come with our monitoring and directing their focus on moving America in the right direction.

Only time will tell if these warriors we sent to our Nation’s Capitol are of the true conservatives they profess to be.  We will trust for the moment they are simply emulating Washington’s heroic actions, even in strategic retreat.  If voters find, however, it is a surrender, an abandonment of the core principles we hold dear, these weak soldiers will pay the same price in November 2012 as did their predecessors in November 2010.

 

 

9 Responses to “The Budget Deal in Perspective”

  1. barbm says:

    i was a big supporter of the tea party, but then i noticed that there seemed to be an awful lot of rinos who want to continue to support and protect the filthy rich who, in my opinion, do NOT pay their fair share in taxes. other issues also convinced me the rinos were taking it over, but i don’t want to write a book. the tea party kind of hijacked ron paul’s campaign for liberty and changed it. i no longer can support an organization that would support a rino like perry for potus. 57%? are you kidding me? anybody who would vote for him is just wasting space and oxygen.

    • Ceteris Paribus says:

      When i went to the recent SATP Texas Senate debates a question of support for Rick Perry was asked of the large audience. The response sounded like crickets chirping. Perry is NOT a tea party favorite. Personally, i will vote for him in the general election because four more years of Obama will destroy this country and every libertarian freedom we want.

      Every tea party person i have ever talked with wants to reduce tax rates and many, like me, want to either eliminate the IRS completely or at least eliminate the complex income tax deductions that especially benefit the super-rich. Ron Paul has very strong tea party positions when it comes to fiscal policies but there is a split in the tea party when it comes to his social policies. i am on Ron Paul’s side regarding social policies but have met some tea partiers who are socially conservative. However, Ron Paul’s foreign policy positions scare me. He said in the most recent debates that Iran is not a suicidal country. i am a retired intelligence officer and i will swear to you that Ron Paul is completely wrong on this. Iran is led by totally suicidal leaders. They believe that being killed in the cause of Islam will guarantee their ticket to paradise. During the Iran-Iraq war (1980-1988), the Iranians roped groups of about 20 children together (to prevent defections) and pushed them into Iraqi minefields to clear mines. An estimated 10,000 Iranian children (including many girls as young as 9 years old) were killed in this way. If Iran gets a nuke, they WILL use it.

  2. Alice Warren says:

    Obama budge has not consideredthe cost of Sneaking in amnesty which will turn this country into the next third world nation. Hispanics will get exactly what they escaped from now. With lack of education, no language skills, multi-birth rates, siestas, and lack of ability to self govern, they will have exactly what they came from. Then where will they go???

  3. Ceteris Paribus says:

    Very well written, and I concede that you might be correct. However, few have talked about the path not taken in the recent budget deal. That path would have led the House to stand fast after submitting the Cut, Cap and Balance (CC&B) bill. Given that Harry Reid’s strategy appears to be to avoid producing a budget (none in over two years), I doubt that the Senate would have produced an acceptable bill in time.

    If Congress could not agree on a bill, the debt ceiling limit would have forced the Administration to prioritize government payments based on available revenues. In light of the 14th Amendment Section 4 which states, in part: “The validity of the public debt of the United States, authorized by law…shall not be questioned”, all debt servicing and contractual payments would need to be made. Since these payments are much less than the available revenue, there would be no need for any default. (Assuming that this President would actually follow the Constitution.)

    In fact, current government revenues could cover not only debt service and contractual obligations, but they could also cover Social Security and Medicare payments. There would also have been enough money to pay the military and some government workers. In fact, the revenues would pay about 60% of all current government obligations. Also, the government has many liquid assets that they could sell to raise revenues in the short term (e.g., gold, oil, helium, etc.).

    While it is true that the Administration could have used the 40% shortfall to punish conservative priorities (e.g., veteran benefits), the House could respond by passing targeted increases to the debt ceiling to address them (e.g., a veteran benefit-only bill that raises the debt ceiling by precisely the amount needed to cover these payments). If the Senate or Obama failed to agree to these targeted bills, then the public could decide the future of these politicians.

    Bottom line, more than half of the Federal workforce would have been furloughed had the House stood fast on CC&B. Those furloughed would NOT:
    1) be able to pay union dues to AFSCME (cutting Obama’s reelection union donations)
    2) have salary that they could contribute to Obama’s campaign (polls show about 90% of the Federal workforce votes Democrat)
    3) be able to harass private businesses and individuals in their usual bureaucratic manner.

    /tongue in cheek

    In the end, I believe the Democrats would have realized this and would have accepted much of the CC&B bill. I agree that there are times for retreat but, like Washington crossing the icy Delaware River on Christmas Day to attack the Hessians in Trenton, there are also times for bold actions. I think we missed a big opportunity this time.

    • S.V.Moorman says:

      I agree with you Ceteris Paribus. We the People, missed a huge opportunity to hold this regime accountable and really start the “change” we need to save this Great Nation. We must demand our elected officials hold true to our convictions and never sell out for the sake of “political compromise”.

      This political compromise is nothing more than “business as usual”.

      We do thank Bob for pointing out our accolades from this latest battle.

      • Ceteris Paribus says:

        I agree with you and with Howard Nichol that this is NOT a time for political compromise.

  4. Howard Nichol says:

    Sorry, no sale!

    If you compromise with Satan, will you only 1/2 go to hell? Should we have made a deal with Hitler 1/2 way through WW2 and enact a compromise of his and our plans for Europe? I don’t know how many Tea Party folks have ever been in a real fight, but it’s best to never start one or even be in one unless a plan and determination is there to win–no compromise–win.

    “To run away and fight another day”, that’s OK if it is a plan to trick your opponent into thinking you weak and easy. But that is what it does, so it the retreat is for real, expect a tougher battle next time.

    Finally does any one believe these last 3 weeks would have been any worse if the budget deal/debt ceiling deal not been reached? S&P downgrade, stock market savings, etc.?

  5. Bobbie Mueller says:

    I loved your anology and it is a positive for us who feel a loss.

  6. Lemuel Sullivan says:

    Very well written. Thank You